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Industry Valuations

Insurance Agency Valuation Trends: The Hidden Shift in Pro Forma EBITDA Margins

Insurance Agency Valuation Trends: The Hidden Shift in Pro Forma EBITDA Margins

Insurance agency valuation conversations still begin, too often, with a simple question: what multiple will the agency get? That question is understandable. Owners hear about revenue multiples, EBITDA multiples, private equity consolidation, and public broker valuations. Buyers hear about recurring commissions, retention, producer talent, and market share. Lenders hear about cash flow. CPAs and attorneys hear about normalized earnings, purpose, standard of value, and report support.

The more useful question is not just the multiple. It is whether the agency’s pro forma EBITDA margin is supportable, repeatable, and matched to the valuation method being used.

That is the hidden shift. In a stronger market, a buyer might tolerate a thinner explanation of the earnings stream. In a more selective market, the quality of pro forma EBITDA can matter as much as the headline number. The 2025 Best Practices Study uses pro forma EBITDA as a key profitability metric and defines it as EBITDA after normalizing revenue and expense adjustments and adding back discretionary owner expenditures (Big “I” & Reagan Consulting, 2025). That definition is helpful, but it does not mean every add-back is automatically accepted. It means the analyst, buyer, lender, and adviser need to understand the bridge from reported earnings to normalized maintainable earnings.

Recent insurance agency benchmarking and M&A coverage make the issue timely. IA Magazine reported that the 2025 Best Practices Study reflected EBITDA margins of 26.1 percent compared with 26.3 percent in the prior year, in the specific study context (IA Magazine, 2025). Earlier coverage reported record 2023 organic growth in the independent agency channel and noted strong EBITDA margin context in the Reagan Consulting survey coverage (IA Magazine, 2024; Insurance Journal, 2024). Those data points do not mean every agency earns the same margin, deserves the same valuation, or should be judged by a single percentage. They do show why margin durability has become a front-line valuation question.

A high pro forma EBITDA margin can be a sign of a well-run agency: disciplined expense management, strong retention, productive producers, efficient service staffing, useful technology, balanced carrier relationships, and recurring commission revenue. It can also be a warning sign if it depends on underpaid owner labor, deferred hiring, one-time contingent commissions, hard-market premium lift, a short-term expense cut, or add-backs that are difficult to verify.

The goal of a professional business valuation is not to maximize EBITDA on paper. The goal is to estimate a supportable value conclusion using appropriate valuation methods. That requires consistency. The Internal Revenue Manual’s business valuation guidance states that the appraiser should select the appropriate benefit stream, such as pre-tax or after-tax income or cash flows, and select discount rates, capitalization rates, or multiples consistent with that benefit stream (Internal Revenue Service [IRS], 2020). In practical terms, an appraiser should not apply a market approach multiple to one definition of EBITDA, use a discounted cash flow model based on another definition of cash flow, and then reconcile the two without explaining the differences.

For an insurance agency owner, the message is straightforward: before asking what multiple applies, prepare to prove what EBITDA means.

Executive Summary: The Short Answer for Agency Owners

The hidden shift is from headline multiples to margin quality

Insurance agencies are frequently discussed as recurring-revenue businesses, and valuation discussions often use shorthand references to revenue, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, or pro forma EBITDA. Shorthand can be useful in a first conversation, but it is not enough for a defensible business appraisal.

A valuation multiple is only meaningful when the earnings stream being multiplied is clear. A discounted cash flow model is only meaningful when the cash flows, growth assumptions, margin assumptions, risk assumptions, taxes, working capital, capital expenditures, and terminal assumptions are internally consistent. The asset approach is only meaningful when the assets and liabilities being valued are relevant to the assignment and the premise of value. A professional business valuation should connect the facts to the method, not force the agency into a generic rule.

Pro forma EBITDA margin quality is the bridge between the agency’s story and the valuation conclusion. It answers questions such as:

  • Is recent commission revenue recurring or temporary?
  • Are contingent commissions supportable over more than one year?
  • Is owner compensation normalized to reflect required management cost?
  • Are producers compensated in a way that supports future retention and growth?
  • Is technology spending adequate, deferred, or unusually high because of a one-time project?
  • Did margins improve because the agency truly became more efficient, or because it postponed necessary hiring?
  • Does reported growth reflect new clients and exposures, premium rate movement, acquisition activity, or a temporary book change?

The Best Practices Study’s definition of pro forma EBITDA provides a useful starting point, but the valuation question is deeper: which adjustments are economically supportable, and which ones should be revised, rejected, or modeled differently (Big “I” & Reagan Consulting, 2025)?

Why buyers are asking harder questions

Trade coverage indicates that insurance agency M&A activity became more selective in 2025. IA Magazine reported that insurance agency M&A fell 12 percent in 2025, citing OPTIS-related coverage (IA Magazine, 2026). Risk & Insurance also reported a 2025 decline in insurance agent and broker M&A deal count (Risk & Insurance, 2026). Those reports do not prove that every agency’s value declined, and they should not be used as a private-agency valuation formula. They do support a practical point: when deal activity slows or buyer selectivity rises, documentation tends to matter more.

A buyer or lender does not only ask what happened last year. IA Valuations’ 2025 Q1 Marketplace Report states that when an agency owner is interested in selling internally or externally, a lender or buyer will conduct pro forma analysis because those parties need to know what cash flow they can reasonably expect, not just what happened due to variability (IA Valuations, 2025). That is exactly why a reported EBITDA number is not the end of the analysis.

The buyer wants to know whether the pro forma margin survives diligence. The lender wants to know whether the debt service case is built on repeatable cash flow. The valuation analyst wants to know whether the benefit stream matches the market approach evidence, the income approach assumptions, and the final reconciliation. The owner wants to avoid a late-stage surprise where a headline value discussion collapses because add-backs were not supportable.

The practical owner takeaway

Owners should prepare a clean reported-to-pro forma EBITDA bridge before a sale, shareholder buyout, internal perpetuation plan, loan request, estate planning exercise, or other valuation event. The bridge should not be a sales pitch. It should be a file that lets a reviewer trace each adjustment to records.

The most useful bridge usually includes financial statements, general ledger detail, payroll support, producer agreements, carrier statements, contingent commission history, client and revenue retention reports, owner role descriptions, related-party agreements, rent support, technology contracts, and explanations for nonrecurring items. The quality of that support can affect how much weight a valuation analyst gives the reported margin, how a buyer views risk, and how a lender evaluates cash flow.

Visual Aid 1: Near-Top Valuation Scenario Table

Reported fact patternWhat it can meanMain buyer or analyst questionValuation method most affectedDocumentation needed
High reported EBITDA margin with weak add-back supportMargin may be overstated or hard to financeWhich adjustments survive diligence?Market approach and discounted cash flowPayroll, general ledger detail, invoices, owner expense support
Moderate margin with durable retention and organic growthEarnings may be more supportable than the headline margin suggestsAre commissions recurring and clients sticky?Discounted cash flow and market approachRetention reports, book roll-forward, carrier statements
Low current margin due to documented growth investmentReported EBITDA may understate normalized potentialAre expenses temporary, strategic, or recurring?Discounted cash flow forecast and normalizationHiring plan, producer ramp data, technology implementation records
Margin boosted by contingent commissions or premium changesRecent EBITDA may not equal maintainable EBITDAIs the revenue recurring, volatile, or carrier-dependent?EBITDA normalization and income approach riskCarrier statements, multi-year contingency history, revenue mix
Acquisition-heavy book with incomplete integrationReported growth may hide retention and systems riskAre acquired books retained and producers aligned?Market approach comparability and discounted cash flowDeal files, retention by acquired book, compensation agreements

Define Pro Forma EBITDA Before Discussing Value

Pro forma EBITDA is not just EBITDA with optimistic add-backs

EBITDA means earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is commonly used because it can help compare operating earnings before financing structure, tax profile, and certain noncash charges. But EBITDA is not free cash flow. It does not automatically include taxes, working capital needs, capital expenditures, producer ramp costs, or required reinvestment. It is also not automatically normalized.

The 2025 Best Practices Study describes pro forma EBITDA as reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after normalizing revenue and expense adjustments and adding back discretionary expenditures made for the benefit of owners (Big “I” & Reagan Consulting, 2025). That wording is important. It includes both revenue and expense adjustments. It also uses the word normalizing, not inflating.

In an insurance agency business valuation, the analyst may need to distinguish several related terms:

  • Reported EBITDA: EBITDA calculated from the agency’s historical financial statements before valuation adjustments.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: EBITDA after certain adjustments, which may vary by buyer, lender, analyst, transaction process, or reporting context.
  • Pro forma EBITDA: In the agency benchmarking and transaction context, a normalized view of EBITDA after supportable revenue and expense adjustments.
  • Normalized maintainable EBITDA: A valuation benefit stream intended to represent earnings that can reasonably be sustained, considering the purpose and premise of the engagement.
  • Free cash flow: Cash flow after considering items such as taxes, working capital, capital expenditures, and reinvestment assumptions where applicable.

The differences matter. A buyer might accept a one-time legal expense add-back but reject an owner compensation add-back if the owner is the agency’s primary producer and must be replaced. A lender might normalize a nonrecurring revenue spike differently than a strategic buyer. A valuation analyst might use one benefit stream in a capitalization method and a different cash flow stream in a discounted cash flow model, but only if the report explains the differences and uses internally consistent inputs.

Why the definition matters to the market approach

The market approach uses market evidence. That evidence may include transactions involving comparable agencies, public-company information, or other market data. The challenge is comparability.

If a market source reports values based on pro forma EBITDA, the subject agency’s EBITDA must be calculated in a reasonably comparable way or adjusted. If the source uses adjusted EBITDA and excludes certain items, the analyst needs to understand those exclusions. If the source is based on public brokers, the analyst must recognize that public companies have different scale, liquidity, reporting systems, capital access, acquisition platforms, and diversification than a local or regional private agency.

This is why generic multiple talk can be dangerous. A multiple is a shorthand expression of risk, growth, profitability, size, liquidity, buyer appetite, and deal terms. Applying a multiple without matching the denominator can distort value. Applying a public-company multiple to a small private agency without careful comparability analysis can be misleading.

The IRS valuation guidance supports the broader principle: the selected benefit stream should be consistent with the discount rates, capitalization rates, or multiples used in the relevant valuation methodology (IRS, 2020). In a market approach, that means the earnings definition matters as much as the selected multiple.

Why the definition matters to discounted cash flow

A discounted cash flow model estimates value based on expected future cash flows discounted for risk. Pro forma EBITDA margin can influence a DCF, but EBITDA itself is not the final cash flow input unless the model is intentionally built that way and the assumptions are clear. A DCF may need to consider revenue growth, retention, contingent commissions, producer compensation, service staffing, technology spend, taxes, working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions, and terminal value.

A one-time add-back can improve normalized EBITDA, but it does not prove future growth. A high margin may support value if it reflects repeatable operating leverage. It may reduce confidence if it reflects postponed staffing, reduced producer incentives, or an expense base that cannot support the forecast. A lower current margin may not be negative if it reflects documented investment in producers, systems, or integration that is expected to improve cash flow, but that expectation still needs support.

Visual Aid 2: Pro Forma EBITDA Bridge Table

Bridge itemDirectionWhy it is reviewedEvidence to requestBuyer challenge risk
Reported operating income or EBITDAStarting pointEstablish the book baselineFinancial statements and general ledgerLow if records reconcile
Owner compensation above or below required management costAdd back or deduct as appropriateNormalize for sustainable managementPayroll records, role descriptions, compensation supportHigh if the owner remains essential
Discretionary owner expensesPossible add-backRemove personal or non-business items if documentedGeneral ledger detail, invoices, owner explanationHigh if business purpose is mixed
Producer compensation timingAnalyze, not automatic add-backCommission structure can shift margin between periodsProducer agreements, payroll, production reportsHigh if compensation is below sustainable level
Contingent or supplemental commissionsAnalyze for durabilityRevenue may vary by carrier terms, volume, or profitabilityCarrier statements and multi-year historyHigh if nonrecurring or concentrated
One-time legal, M&A, or consulting costPossible add-backIsolate unusual or transaction-specific expenseInvoices, engagement letters, explanationMedium if recurring advisory costs remain
Technology or staffing underinvestmentPossible deduction or forecast adjustmentCurrent EBITDA may be inflated by deferred spendBudgets, contracts, headcount planHigh if buyer must spend after closing
Nonrecurring revenueDeduct or normalizeAvoid capitalizing temporary revenueClient detail, carrier detail, renewal historyHigh if not repeatable
Normalized maintainable EBITDAResultBenefit stream for valuation methodsComplete bridge and support fileDepends on support quality

The Industry Backdrop: Strong Margins, Growth, and More Selective M&A

Recent benchmarking coverage makes pro forma margins visible

Industry benchmarking has made profitability and growth easier to discuss, but it must be used carefully. IA Magazine reported that the 2025 Best Practices Study showed EBITDA margins of 26.1 percent compared with 26.3 percent in the prior year, within the study’s context (IA Magazine, 2025). The same coverage described the Rule of 20 as calculated by adding organic growth to 50 percent of pro forma EBITDA (IA Magazine, 2025). Earlier coverage from IA Magazine and Insurance Journal reported record 2023 organic growth in the independent agency channel based on Reagan Consulting survey coverage (IA Magazine, 2024; Insurance Journal, 2024).

Those facts are useful industry context. They are not a shortcut to a specific agency value. A small agency with a lower margin may be more valuable than it appears if it has durable retention, a strong producer team, documented investments, and clean add-back support. A larger agency with a higher reported margin may deserve more scrutiny if the margin depends on an owner who is not paid a market-level management cost, unusual contingent commissions, or deferred operating expense.

The best use of benchmarking is diagnostic. It tells the owner and analyst where to ask questions. It does not replace the valuation analysis.

Strong recent results can hide durability questions

High margins can be excellent news. They may reflect productivity, expense discipline, a recurring commission base, strong client retention, efficient service teams, technology adoption, and disciplined acquisition integration. They may also reflect temporary or fragile factors. The analyst’s job is to separate those possibilities.

Consider several margin drivers:

  • A hard insurance market may increase premiums and commission revenue without a proportional increase in policy count or new clients.
  • Contingent commissions may be meaningful in one year but less reliable if tied to carrier-specific profitability, volume, or underwriting results.
  • Producer compensation may be low because producers are new, underpaid, deferring compensation, or about to renegotiate.
  • Owner labor may be critical but not reflected in payroll at a sustainable replacement cost.
  • Technology spend may have been delayed to make earnings look stronger.
  • Service staffing may be lean today but inadequate for the next stage of growth.
  • Acquisition growth may not be fully integrated, and retention by acquired book may be unproven.

These are not accusations. They are diligence tests. A valuation analyst should not assume that every high margin is fragile. The analyst should also not assume that every high margin is durable.

Deal-count slowdown increases the need for clean support

IA Magazine reported that insurance agency M&A fell 12 percent in 2025, citing OPTIS-related coverage (IA Magazine, 2026). Risk & Insurance similarly reported a decline in insurance agent and broker M&A deal count in 2025 (Risk & Insurance, 2026). These reports are trade coverage, not valuation standards. They do not establish a required discount, a universal change in multiples, or a guaranteed buyer response.

They do support a practical valuation-readiness point. When buyers have more choices or become more disciplined, a clean pro forma EBITDA file can help keep the discussion focused on facts. Unsupported adjustments invite retrading, lender hesitation, or reduced confidence in the valuation methods.

Visual Aid 3: Margin Durability Risk Matrix

Margin driverIf durable, value implicationIf not durable, valuation concernEvidence to test
Organic growthSupports revenue forecast and discounted cash flow assumptionsMay fade if premium conditions change or new business slowsOrganic growth calculation, policy count, premium versus exposure data
RetentionSupports recurring commission baseChurn can reduce maintainable EBITDAClient retention, revenue retention, lost-account analysis
Contingent commissionsCan contribute to earnings if recurring and diversifiedVolatile or carrier-specific revenue may be riskierMulti-year carrier statements and revenue mix
Producer compensationProductive team can support marginUnderpaid or misaligned producers may require future expenseAgreements, renewal splits, new business crediting
Owner involvementEfficient leadership can support profitUncompensated owner labor may understate replacement costRole descriptions, hours, transition plan
Technology and staffingScalable platform can support marginDeferred spend can inflate current EBITDABudgets, contracts, system roadmap, headcount plan
Acquisition integrationAcquired books can add scalePoor retention or incomplete integration can reduce qualityAcquisition files, retention by book, producer retention

Where Pro Forma EBITDA Affects the Valuation Methods

Income approach and discounted cash flow

The income approach focuses on expected economic benefits. For an insurance agency, those benefits often depend on recurring commissions, renewal behavior, new business production, producer relationships, carrier relationships, expense structure, and risk. A discounted cash flow model is one income approach method. A capitalization of earnings method is another. Both require a benefit stream that fits the method.

In a DCF, pro forma EBITDA margin can affect several assumptions:

  • Starting point: The analyst may begin with historical EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, or normalized maintainable EBITDA, then convert that number into cash flow.
  • Revenue growth: The forecast should distinguish recurring renewals, new business, fee income, contingent commissions, acquired revenue, and nonrecurring revenue where data allows.
  • Expense structure: Producer compensation, service staff, management, technology, rent, benefits, and outsourced functions all affect the margin forecast.
  • Reinvestment: A high current margin may require future investment to remain durable.
  • Risk: Weak documentation or high concentration can influence discount rate or scenario weighting, depending on the engagement.
  • Terminal assumptions: A terminal value should not assume indefinitely elevated margins without support.

The IRS guidance on consistency between benefit stream and valuation inputs is especially relevant here (IRS, 2020). If the cash flow is after tax, the discount rate should be compatible. If the model uses pre-tax EBITDA-like measures, the analyst must explain the method and assumptions. If the market approach uses pro forma EBITDA and the DCF uses after-tax cash flow, the reconciliation should describe the relationship between the two.

Market approach and comparability

The market approach can be useful when market data are reliable and comparable. For insurance agencies, comparability may depend on size, geography, line of business, personal lines versus commercial lines mix, producer depth, retention, carrier concentration, organic growth, EBITDA definition, margin durability, acquisition integration, and whether the transaction terms included earnouts, rollover equity, employment agreements, or contingent consideration.

Public broker data can provide context, but it should not be treated as a direct substitute for private-agency transaction evidence. Houlihan Lokey’s 2025 Insurance Distribution Market Update provides public broker market information and insurance distribution context, but those public-company metrics require careful comparability caveats when readers are thinking about small or mid-sized private agencies (Houlihan Lokey, 2025). Public brokers may have diversified platforms, public-market liquidity, acquisition programs, and reporting infrastructure that a private agency does not.

The market approach also depends on the denominator. If the comparable transaction’s reported multiple uses pro forma EBITDA, the subject agency’s pro forma EBITDA should be measured with similar discipline. If the comparable is based on adjusted EBITDA after synergies, the analyst should not apply that multiple to pre-synergy subject-company EBITDA without explanation. If the subject agency’s EBITDA includes aggressive add-backs that comparable transactions did not include, the method can overstate value.

Asset approach and why it usually does not solve margin quality

The asset approach values a business by reference to assets and liabilities. In some assignments, it can be important. It may help analyze tangible assets, working capital, nonoperating assets, debt, and the balance sheet. In unusual situations, it may provide floor-value context or be relevant to a specific premise of value.

For a profitable going-concern insurance agency, however, the asset approach often does not answer the main economic question: what is the value of future cash flow from client relationships, renewals, producers, carrier relationships, reputation, and operations? It can help reconcile certain balance-sheet items, but it usually does not replace an income approach or market approach analysis when value is driven by earnings.

That does not mean the asset approach should be ignored. It means the business appraisal should explain which valuation methods were considered, which were used, and why certain methods received more or less weight. Professional valuation standards emphasize information collection, analysis, method selection, and reporting discipline in ways that support that kind of explanation (American Society of Appraisers [ASA], 2022; AICPA & CIMA, 2008; NACVA, n.d.).

Business appraisal reconciliation

The final reconciliation should tell a coherent story. It should identify the valuation date, subject interest, purpose, standard of value, sources reviewed, assumptions, limitations, and methods considered. It should explain how pro forma EBITDA was calculated, why certain adjustments were accepted or rejected, and how the result was used in the valuation methods.

A strong business appraisal does not merely state a conclusion. It explains why the conclusion follows from the evidence.

Visual Aid 4: Valuation Methods Comparison Table

Valuation methodHow pro forma EBITDA margin entersMain risk if margin is weakly supportedEvidence needed
Discounted cash flowInforms forecast cash flow, margin, reinvestment, risk, and terminal assumptionsOverstated current margin can inflate forecast valueEBITDA bridge, forecast support, retention, staffing, carrier data
Capitalization of earningsCapitalizes a normalized benefit streamOne abnormal year can be overcapitalizedMulti-year normalized earnings and support
Market approachUsed in EBITDA-based comparisonsSubject EBITDA may not match market evidence definitionComparable definitions, transaction context, margin support
Public broker contextProvides terminology and broad market reference pointsPublic brokers are not small private agenciesSEC filings and careful comparability caveats
Asset approachTests assets and liabilities in appropriate casesMay miss going-concern earnings power if used mechanicallyBalance sheet, working capital, tangible assets, purpose
Final business appraisal reconciliationWeighs methods and explains conclusionUnsupported add-backs can distort every methodWorkpapers, assumptions, standards, report support

SEC Non-GAAP, Public Broker Filings, and Private-Agency Normalization Are Not the Same Thing

Why terminology can confuse owners

Insurance agency owners may hear several terms in one conversation: EBITDA, pro forma EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, EBITDAC, organic revenue, non-GAAP measure, normalized earnings, recurring revenue, and free cash flow. These terms can overlap in ordinary speech, but they are not interchangeable.

The SEC’s staff guidance on non-GAAP financial measures is aimed at public-company disclosure. The guidance cautions that a non-GAAP measure labeled pro forma can be misleading if it is not calculated consistently with the pro forma requirements in Article 11 of Regulation S-X, in that public-company reporting context (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission [SEC], n.d.). That does not mean a private insurance agency cannot use the phrase pro forma EBITDA in transaction diligence or a business appraisal. It means the context must be clear.

Private-company pro forma EBITDA typically refers to a normalized earnings view used to analyze maintainable cash flow. Public-company non-GAAP measures are disclosure measures subject to public-company rules and company-specific reconciliations. A valuation report should not blur the two.

How public broker filings can still help

Official public-company filings can still be useful. Brown & Brown’s 2025 Form 10-K discusses non-GAAP measures such as organic revenue and EBITDAC in its public-company context (Brown & Brown, Inc., 2026). Arthur J. Gallagher’s 2025 Form 10-K discusses adjusted revenues, organic commission, fee and supplemental revenues, and adjusted EBITDAC in its public-company reporting context (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., 2026). Marsh McLennan’s 2025 Form 10-K discusses revenue sources that include contingent commissions and other payments in the context of its operations (Marsh McLennan, 2026). Aon’s 2025 Form 10-K discusses recurring revenue streams and cash flow generation in the context of its diversified public company operations (Aon plc, 2026).

Those filings can help readers understand terminology and broad risk themes. They do not provide a direct answer to what a small private agency is worth. Public companies differ in scale, reporting obligations, capital access, liquidity, geographic breadth, acquisition programs, and diversification.

Visual Aid 5: Terminology Guardrail Table

TermUseful meaning in contextWhat not to assume
EBITDAEarnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortizationIt is not free cash flow and not automatically normalized
Pro forma EBITDA in agency benchmarkingEBITDA after normalizing revenue and expense adjustments and adding back discretionary owner expendituresIt does not mean every add-back is accepted without support
Adjusted EBITDA or EBITDAC in public filingsPublic-company non-GAAP measure with company-specific reconciliation and disclosure contextIt is not a private-agency valuation formula
Organic revenueGrowth measure discussed by public brokers and benchmarking sourcesIt may be calculated differently across sources
SEC non-GAAP guidancePublic-company disclosure guardrailsIt does not prescribe private-company transaction add-backs
Normalized maintainable EBITDAValuation benefit stream after supportable adjustmentsIt should not include unsupported or temporary improvements

The Pro Forma EBITDA Adjustments That Get the Most Scrutiny

Owner compensation and management replacement cost

Owner compensation is one of the most important normalization issues in an insurance agency business valuation. Many agencies are owner-managed. The owner may be the chief producer, relationship holder, carrier negotiator, sales manager, recruiter, culture carrier, and final decision maker. Removing the owner’s compensation without replacing the owner’s functions can overstate EBITDA.

The analysis should start with the owner’s actual duties. Does the owner produce new business? Manage producers? Supervise service teams? Handle carrier relationships? Lead acquisitions? Manage finances? Work full time or part time? Plan to remain after a sale? Have successors in place?

If the owner is paid above a supportable management cost, an add-back may be appropriate. If the owner is underpaid or unpaid, a deduction may be necessary. If the owner is central to client retention or producer management, the valuation may also need to consider transition risk. There is no universal compensation number in this source pack, and this article should not invent one. The proper support may include payroll records, role descriptions, management agreements, compensation studies if available, and buyer-specific transition assumptions.

Producer compensation and commission splits

Producer compensation affects both margin and future revenue. A high pro forma EBITDA margin may look attractive until diligence shows that producers are undercompensated, near a renegotiation point, not tied to the renewal book, or likely to leave. Conversely, a lower current margin may reflect an agency that is investing in producer talent and future growth.

The documents matter. A buyer, lender, or appraiser may request producer contracts, new business and renewal split schedules, vesting provisions, perpetuation terms, production by producer, renewal ownership, producer-level retention, and any special bonus or transition agreements. The question is not simply whether compensation is high or low. The question is whether compensation supports the revenue forecast.

Contingent commissions, supplemental commissions, and carrier concentration

Contingent and supplemental commissions can be legitimate revenue. They can also be volatile. Marsh McLennan’s public filing illustrates that large brokers may discuss contingent commissions and other payments in their official disclosures, although that public-company context is not a private-agency statistic (Marsh McLennan, 2026). For a private agency, the analyst should examine the actual carrier statements and multi-year history.

Important questions include:

  • Which carriers generate contingent commissions?
  • How many years of history are available?
  • Are payments tied to premium volume, profitability, growth, placement strategy, or other terms?
  • Is the revenue concentrated in one carrier or line of business?
  • Did a recent year include an unusual carrier event?
  • Are the contingency arrangements expected to continue?

The valuation treatment may vary. A diversified, recurring pattern may support normalized earnings. A one-year spike may need to be excluded, averaged, risk-adjusted, or modeled separately. The conclusion should follow from documents, not from a generic rule.

Rent, affiliate costs, technology, recruiting, and one-time expenses

Related-party rent can require normalization if the owner also controls the building or if the lease differs from market terms. The business valuation should avoid becoming a real estate appraisal unless separately scoped, but it may still need to consider whether rent expense reflects sustainable economics.

Technology and recruiting expenses require judgment. Some costs are normal operating expenses. Some are one-time implementation costs. Some are deferred investments that should reduce confidence in a high current margin. KPMG’s insurance distribution and services report discusses industry change driven by private equity, interest rates, consolidation, technology, and talent themes (KPMG, 2024). That context supports the practical point that technology and talent are not decorative expenses. They can be part of maintaining a competitive agency.

One-time legal, consulting, or transaction expenses may be appropriate add-backs when documented and truly nonrecurring. However, recurring compliance, advisory, training, recruiting, or systems costs should not be removed simply because they are inconvenient.

Visual Aid 6: Adjustment Supportability Matrix

Adjustment categoryPossible valuation treatmentStrong supportWeak support warning
Owner compensationNormalize to required management costRole detail, payroll, transition plan, compensation supportOwner is key producer or manager with no replacement plan
Personal expensesAdd back only if non-business and documentedReceipts, general ledger detail, owner explanationMixed business and personal use with no detail
Producer compensationNormalize if current pay is not sustainableAgreements, production data, retention by producerBelow-market pay used to inflate margin
Contingent commissionsAnalyze multi-year recurring patternCarrier statements by year and carrierOne-time spike or carrier concentration
One-time legal or M&A costPossible add-backInvoice and transaction-specific supportNormal recurring advisory or compliance spend
Technology spendAnalyze carefullyImplementation plan and recurring budgetDeferred spend framed as add-back
Rent or affiliate chargesNormalize if related-party economics differLease, market rent support, ownership detailNo support or mixed purposes
Nonrecurring revenueDeduct or normalizeClient and carrier detailTemporary revenue capitalized as recurring

Same Reported EBITDA, Different Valuation Support

Hypothetical case setup

The following example is hypothetical. It is not market evidence, not a valuation conclusion, and not a recommended multiple. It illustrates why two agencies with similar reported EBITDA may receive different valuation support.

Assume three agencies have similar reported revenue and reported EBITDA. Agency A has a moderate pro forma EBITDA margin, excellent client retention, balanced producer compensation, diversified carrier relationships, and a clear owner transition plan. Agency B has a high reported margin, but the margin depends on low owner compensation, deferred service hiring, a one-year contingent commission spike, and personal expenses that are difficult to separate from business expenses. Agency C has lower current EBITDA because it recently hired producers, converted systems, and integrated an acquired book. It has clean records showing which expenses are temporary and which are recurring.

The headline numbers do not tell the full story. Agency B might look best in a simple EBITDA screen, but a business valuation may place less weight on its reported margin after testing replacement management cost, producer compensation, staffing, and contingent commissions. Agency A might support a lower headline margin with stronger confidence. Agency C might require a more detailed DCF to test whether recent investment creates supportable future cash flow.

Visual Aid 7: Same EBITDA Case-Study Table

FactorAgency A: durable marginAgency B: unsupported high marginAgency C: investment-year marginValuation implication
Reported EBITDASimilar to peersSimilar to peersTemporarily lower before normalizationHeadline EBITDA is incomplete
Pro forma bridgeClear and documentedAggressive add-backsSeparates temporary investment from recurring costSupport quality differs
Owner roleReplaceable management structureOwner is key producer and managerTransition plan documentedManagement cost differs
Producer compensationStable and documentedLow compensation riskNew producer ramp costs visibleMargin durability differs
Contingent commissionsMulti-year patternOne-year spikeConservative treatmentRevenue risk differs
Technology and staffingCurrent platform adequateDeferred spendingCurrent spend may support scaleDCF assumptions differ
Market approach useBetter comparabilityLower confidence in denominatorRequires forecast and margin reviewWeighting can differ

How not to use the example

Do not use this example to infer a universal premium for high margins or a universal discount for lower margins. Do not apply a market multiple to EBITDA that includes unsupported add-backs. Do not use public broker metrics as a shortcut for private-agency value. The lesson is narrower and more useful: reported EBITDA is a starting point, not a conclusion.

Visual Aid 8: Illustrative Margin Sensitivity Block

Illustrative margin sensitivity only, not market evidence or a valuation conclusion

Agency revenue                                      $4,000,000
Scenario A pro forma EBITDA margin                      22.0%
Scenario A pro forma EBITDA                         $880,000

Scenario B pro forma EBITDA margin                      26.0%
Scenario B pro forma EBITDA                       $1,040,000

Difference before risk, growth, taxes,
working capital, capital expenditures,
and method assumptions                              $160,000

Key point: the valuation issue is not only the margin percentage.
The analyst must determine whether the higher margin is durable,
documented, and matched to the selected valuation method.

Buyer Diligence Questions That Reveal Margin Quality

Revenue quality and retention

Revenue quality is central to insurance agency valuation because the agency’s value depends heavily on future client revenue. Diligence should separate revenue streams where records permit. Typical categories include renewal commissions, new business commissions, fee income, contingent commissions, supplemental commissions, acquired-book revenue, and nonrecurring revenue. A buyer may also want revenue by line of business, carrier, office, producer, niche, and major client.

Retention should be measured in the way that best fits the available data and the agency’s business model. Client retention, policy retention, revenue retention, producer-level retention, and carrier-level retention can tell different stories. A high retention rate by client count may hide lost revenue from larger accounts. A strong revenue retention figure may be influenced by premium changes. No single retention statistic answers every question.

Recent organic growth coverage from IA Magazine and Insurance Journal provides useful industry context, but the subject agency still needs its own organic growth bridge (IA Magazine, 2024; Insurance Journal, 2024). The bridge should help distinguish new clients, exposure growth, premium rate movement, acquired revenue, and nonrecurring items where the data allow.

Expense quality and operating leverage

Expense diligence should not be limited to finding add-backs. It should answer whether the expense base can sustain the revenue forecast. Payroll, benefits, producer compensation, occupancy, technology, marketing, recruiting, training, outsourcing, professional fees, travel, carrier events, and owner expenses can all affect margin quality.

Operating leverage is valuable when it is real. It is not valuable when the agency is simply understaffed. A lean service team may produce a high current margin, but if service quality, retention, cross-selling, or employee turnover suffer, the margin may not be durable. A valuation analyst should test whether the agency has enough people, systems, and processes to support its forecast.

Concentration and downside risk

Concentration can appear in several forms:

  • Client concentration.
  • Producer concentration.
  • Carrier concentration.
  • Line-of-business concentration.
  • Program, affinity, or niche dependence.
  • Owner dependence.
  • Acquisition dependence.
  • Technology vendor dependence.

Concentration is not automatically bad. A niche agency may have attractive expertise and strong retention. A producer-led book may have durable relationships. A carrier relationship may be strategic. The valuation issue is whether the risk is understood, documented, and reflected in the method. A DCF might use scenario analysis. A market approach might reduce weight on less comparable transactions. A business appraisal might describe specific risks and explain how they affect the conclusion.

Visual Aid 9: Diligence Checklist for Pro Forma EBITDA Margin Support

  • Three to five years of financial statements, tax returns where appropriate, and general ledger detail.
  • Revenue by type: new business, renewal, fees, contingent, supplemental, acquired book, and nonrecurring.
  • Revenue by carrier, producer, office, line of business, niche, and major client where available.
  • Organic growth calculation and bridge between premium growth, exposure changes, policy count, new clients, and acquired revenue where data allow.
  • Client retention, policy retention, and revenue retention reports.
  • Producer contracts, compensation plans, vesting or perpetuation provisions, and producer-level production reports.
  • Owner compensation, role descriptions, hours, and replacement-management assumptions.
  • Add-back schedule with invoice, payroll, contract, or general ledger support for each item.
  • Technology contracts, recruiting costs, implementation plans, and integration budgets.
  • Carrier statements for contingent and supplemental commissions.
  • Related-party rent, affiliate fees, and shared-cost agreements.
  • Acquisition files, retention by acquired book, and post-closing integration tracking.
  • Forecast assumptions for revenue, margin, headcount, producer ramp, and technology spend.
  • Management explanation of nonrecurring events, supported by documents.

Public Broker Context: Helpful, but Not a Private-Agency Shortcut

What public broker filings can teach

Public broker filings and market updates can help owners understand how larger insurance distribution businesses discuss revenue, margins, acquisition activity, non-GAAP measures, and risk. Brown & Brown, Arthur J. Gallagher, Marsh McLennan, and Aon all provide official filing examples of public-company terminology and disclosure context (Aon plc, 2026; Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., 2026; Brown & Brown, Inc., 2026; Marsh McLennan, 2026). Investment-banking market updates can also show how public market participants frame insurance distribution trends (Houlihan Lokey, 2025).

The useful lesson is not that a private agency should receive a public broker multiple. The useful lesson is that sophisticated market participants care about definitions, recurring revenue, organic growth, adjusted measures, margin, and risk. A private agency valuation should bring the same discipline to the agency’s own facts.

Why public broker metrics are not private-agency multiples

Large public brokers have scale, diversification, reporting infrastructure, investor relations functions, public-company controls, capital access, acquisition teams, and liquidity. A small or mid-sized private agency may have a concentrated producer team, owner dependence, less formal reporting, limited internal finance staff, local carrier relationships, and a different buyer universe. Those differences affect risk and comparability.

Therefore, public-company data should be used with careful caveats. It may inform terminology or broad context. It should not be used mechanically as a valuation multiple for a private insurance agency.

Visual Aid 10: Public Broker Versus Private Agency Comparability Table

AttributePublic broker contextPrivate agency valuation questionWhy it matters
ScaleLarge, diversified, reporting infrastructureIs the agency local, regional, niche, or platform-scale?Scale affects risk and comparability
ReportingSEC filings and non-GAAP reconciliationsAre financial statements and add-backs supportable?Documentation quality affects confidence
Organic revenuePublic-company disclosure contextHow is organic growth calculated and supported?Growth definitions may differ
MarginSegment or company-level measuresIs pro forma EBITDA margin durable?Subject-specific margin quality matters
Acquisition activityProgrammatic M&A and integration systemsHas the agency integrated acquired books?Integration risk affects cash flow
LiquidityPublic-market tradingPrivate transaction with limited marketability factsMultiples are not mechanically transferable

Seller Roadmap: How to Improve Valuation Readiness

First 30 days: build the EBITDA support file

The first step is a clean bridge from reported earnings to pro forma EBITDA. Start with financial statements and reconcile to the general ledger. Identify EBITDA, then list each proposed adjustment on a separate line. Attach support to every line.

Good support is specific. If the adjustment is owner compensation, provide payroll records and a role description. If it is a personal expense, provide invoices and explain why the expense is not required for operations. If it is a one-time legal expense, provide the invoice and event explanation. If it is nonrecurring revenue, show the client and carrier detail.

Do not bury weak adjustments in a large total. Buyers, lenders, and appraisers are more comfortable with a bridge that lets them accept, revise, or reject each item.

Next 90 days: prove revenue and margin durability

After building the EBITDA bridge, prepare the revenue file. Include revenue by type, line of business, carrier, producer, office, and client where available. Prepare retention reports and a book roll-forward. Show new business, lost business, renewal revenue, acquired revenue, contingent commissions, and nonrecurring revenue.

Producer documentation is equally important. Gather producer contracts, compensation schedules, renewal splits, new business crediting rules, vesting terms, perpetuation provisions, and production reports. A margin built on a stable producer structure is different from a margin built on informal arrangements that could change after closing.

Next 6 to 12 months: make operational decisions visible

Some value drivers cannot be documented overnight. If the agency is investing in systems, track implementation costs, timeline, training, productivity goals, and recurring expense changes. If the agency is hiring producers, track producer ramp assumptions and actual results. If the agency is integrating an acquisition, track retention by acquired book and producer.

Avoid cutting necessary expenses solely to inflate a sale-period margin. That may increase reported EBITDA temporarily but weaken future cash flow and buyer confidence. A lower margin with strong support may be more persuasive than a higher margin built on deferred spend.

Visual Aid 11: Seller Preparation Roadmap Table

Time frameOwner actionEvidence producedValuation relevance
0 to 30 daysCreate EBITDA bridgeReported-to-pro forma scheduleHelps analyst test benefit stream
0 to 30 daysAttach documents to every adjustmentInvoice, payroll, contract, general ledger supportReduces unsupported add-back risk
0 to 90 daysBuild retention and revenue reportsRetention by client, revenue, producer, carrierSupports recurring revenue quality
0 to 90 daysReview producer compensationAgreements and production reportsTests margin durability
0 to 90 daysAnalyze contingent commissionsMulti-year carrier statementsSeparates recurring from volatile revenue
3 to 12 monthsTrack system and hiring investmentsBudgets and implementation reportsSupports DCF forecast and margin bridge
3 to 12 monthsClean acquisition integration recordsRetention and integration reportsSupports acquired-book quality
OngoingKeep valuation purpose clearIntended use, standard, date, documentsSupports business appraisal quality

Professional Standards and Report Discipline

Why a formal business valuation should document methods and assumptions

A formal business valuation or business appraisal should document the assignment. The level of detail depends on the engagement, purpose, professional standard, and report type, but the report should generally make the analysis understandable to the intended user. It should identify the subject interest, valuation date, standard of value, purpose, sources reviewed, assumptions, limiting conditions, methods considered, methods used, and reconciliation.

AICPA’s Statement on Standards for Valuation Services applies to AICPA members performing certain valuation services and is a recognized valuation standards framework in the profession (AICPA & CIMA, 2008). NACVA maintains professional standards and ethics resources for its credentialed valuation professionals (NACVA, n.d.). The ASA Business Valuation Standards address valuation procedures, information collection, methods, and written report considerations for ASA appraisers (ASA, 2022). These sources do not set insurance agency multiples. They support the need for disciplined analysis and reporting.

Why consistency between benefit stream and method matters

Benefit-stream consistency is not a technical footnote. It is central to the value conclusion. The IRS guidance states that the appraiser should select an appropriate benefit stream and select discount rates, capitalization rates, or multiples consistent with that benefit stream (IRS, 2020).

Common consistency problems include:

  • Applying a pre-tax EBITDA multiple to an after-tax cash flow stream.
  • Using public-company EBITDAC terminology as if it were a private-agency pro forma EBITDA formula.
  • Capitalizing a one-year margin that includes nonrecurring revenue.
  • Removing owner compensation without adding replacement management cost.
  • Using market evidence based on one EBITDA definition and subject-company EBITDA based on another.
  • Treating working capital, debt, or nonoperating assets inconsistently between methods.

A valuation report should explain these issues rather than hide them.

Why a valuation report should explain excluded methods

A defensible report may consider the income approach, market approach, and asset approach, then use only some of them. That is acceptable when the report explains why. If the asset approach receives little weight because the agency is a profitable going concern whose value is driven by recurring revenue and cash flow, say so. If market evidence is too broad, too public-company-oriented, or not comparable, say so. If DCF assumptions are more reliable because the agency has detailed forecasts and retention data, explain that too.

The best reports make the valuation methods transparent enough for a reader to understand the conclusion, even if the reader disagrees with a specific assumption.

Visual Aid 12: Normalization-to-Value Decision Flowchart

Mermaid-generated diagram for the insurance agency valuation trends the hidden shift in pro forma ebitda margins post
Diagram

Hypothetical Mini Case Studies

These case studies are hypothetical. They are not valuation conclusions, market evidence, legal advice, tax advice, or transaction recommendations. They show how a business valuation analyst might think about pro forma EBITDA margin quality.

Case study 1: high-margin personal lines agency with premium-driven growth

A personal lines agency reports a high EBITDA margin and strong year-over-year commission growth. The owner attributes the result to disciplined operations and a loyal client base. Diligence shows strong client retention, but policy count growth is modest. Revenue growth appears to include premium increases in the book, not only new clients.

The valuation issue is not whether the agency is good. It may be a strong agency. The issue is whether the recent margin and revenue growth should be projected forward at the same level. The DCF should test growth assumptions, retention, service staffing, carrier mix, and possible changes in premium environment. The market approach should not mechanically reward one year of margin expansion without understanding the source of growth.

The support file should include revenue by carrier and line, policy count data, premium versus exposure analysis where available, retention, new business, and service staffing levels. If the high margin is supported by efficient operations and recurring revenue, it may strengthen the valuation case. If it depends on temporary premium effects or deferred hiring, the analyst may normalize or risk-adjust the result.

Case study 2: commercial lines agency with strong producer team

A commercial lines agency has a solid pro forma EBITDA margin, not the highest in its peer conversation, but the bridge is clean. Producer contracts are documented. Renewal splits and new business crediting are clear. Client concentration is moderate. Carrier relationships are diversified. Contingent commissions are present but not dominant. The owner has a transition plan and a capable management team.

This agency may support a stronger valuation conclusion than a higher-margin agency with weak documentation. The margin is not judged in isolation. It is judged with retention, producer alignment, recurring revenue, management depth, and support quality.

The valuation analyst may give meaningful weight to both income approach and market approach evidence if the benefit stream is well supported and comparable. The business appraisal should explain why the margin is considered durable and which risks remain.

Case study 3: acquisition-oriented platform with integration costs

An agency has grown quickly through acquisitions. Reported revenue is up, but current EBITDA includes integration costs, system conversion costs, producer transition costs, and duplicate staff during consolidation. The owner proposes add-backs for many of those expenses.

Some add-backs may be reasonable. Others may represent recurring costs of running an acquisition platform. The valuation issue is to distinguish one-time integration expense from ordinary platform cost. The analyst should review acquisition files, retention by acquired book, producer retention, systems timeline, duplicate cost schedule, and expected recurring expense base.

A DCF can be useful because it can model the transition period. A market approach may also be useful, but only if the selected benefit stream is consistent with the market evidence. If the pro forma margin assumes successful integration, the report should explain the evidence and risk.

Case study 4: owner-dependent agency with aggressive add-backs

An agency reports strong EBITDA after adding back most owner compensation, personal expenses, travel, vehicle expenses, and several discretionary items. Diligence shows that the owner is the largest producer, manages carrier relationships, handles key client relationships, supervises staff, and approves major placements. There is no clear successor.

In this case, the add-back schedule may overstate maintainable EBITDA. The agency still needs management. It may need a producer transition plan. It may face retention risk if the owner exits quickly. The valuation analyst may normalize owner compensation, consider replacement management cost, review personal expenses line by line, and reflect transition risk in the method.

The lesson is not that owner add-backs are bad. The lesson is that owner add-backs require analysis of actual duties and future operating needs.

Case study 5: lower current EBITDA because of systems investment

An agency’s current EBITDA margin is lower than prior years because it implemented a new agency management system, trained staff, hired two producers, and invested in a client service workflow. The owner argues that future EBITDA should improve after implementation.

That may be reasonable if the evidence supports it. The analyst should review the implementation budget, recurring software cost, training cost, producer ramp assumptions, early productivity data, and expected service improvements. The DCF might model temporary expense and future margin improvement, but it should not assume that every technology spend creates value. The forecast should be tied to measurable operating improvements.

This case shows why a low current margin is not automatically negative. The reason for the margin matters.

Common Mistakes in Insurance Agency Valuation Discussions

Mistake 1: treating every add-back as equivalent to cash flow

An add-back is not cash in the buyer’s pocket. It is a proposed adjustment to a benefit stream. The reviewer needs evidence that the expense is nonrecurring, discretionary, personal, above normal, or otherwise not required for future operations. If the expense must be replaced after closing, removing it may overstate value.

Mistake 2: applying a multiple to a mismatched EBITDA definition

A market approach multiple is only meaningful if the denominator is comparable. If one source uses pro forma EBITDA, another uses adjusted EBITDA, and the subject agency uses a seller-prepared add-back schedule, the analyst must reconcile the definitions. Otherwise, the result may look precise but rest on inconsistent inputs.

Mistake 3: treating public-company broker metrics as private-agency evidence

Public-company data can be useful context. It can show how large brokers discuss organic revenue, adjusted measures, and risk. It should not be used mechanically as evidence of private-agency value. Public-market liquidity, scale, reporting obligations, and diversification matter.

Mistake 4: ignoring contingent commissions and carrier concentration

Contingent commissions can be recurring, volatile, concentrated, or temporary depending on the facts. The analyst should review multi-year carrier statements and understand the terms. Carrier concentration can also affect risk, especially if a material portion of revenue depends on one relationship or program.

Mistake 5: focusing only on the multiple rather than the method

A multiple is not a valuation method by itself. The method includes the selected benefit stream, comparable data, adjustments, risk assessment, assumptions, and reconciliation. A professional business valuation should explain the method, not simply announce a number.

How Simply Business Valuation Can Help

A supportable agency business appraisal connects margin evidence to valuation methods

If you are preparing to sell, buy, finance, plan succession, resolve a shareholder matter, or support another planning need involving an insurance agency, Simply Business Valuation can prepare a defensible business valuation or business appraisal that explains the connection between pro forma EBITDA, normalized maintainable earnings, revenue quality, producer structure, contingent commissions, organic growth, and valuation methods.

A professional valuation should not rely on unsupported multiple talk. It should show how the agency’s facts affect the discounted cash flow analysis, market approach comparability, asset approach relevance, and final reconciliation. It should also make clear which assumptions are supported, which items are uncertain, and which risks matter to the conclusion.

Simply Business Valuation can help owners and advisers organize the EBITDA bridge, identify documentation gaps, evaluate margin quality, and present the conclusion in a report designed for the stated purpose. No valuation report can guarantee a sale price, lender decision, tax result, or buyer response. A well-supported report can, however, make the valuation conversation more factual and more useful.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is pro forma EBITDA in an insurance agency valuation?

Pro forma EBITDA is a normalized version of EBITDA. The 2025 Best Practices Study describes pro forma EBITDA as reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after normalizing revenue and expense adjustments and adding back discretionary expenditures made for the benefit of owners (Big “I” & Reagan Consulting, 2025). In a valuation, the key issue is not the label. The key issue is whether each adjustment is supportable and whether the resulting benefit stream represents maintainable earnings.

2. Why does pro forma EBITDA margin matter more than a headline multiple?

A multiple is only meaningful when the earnings stream is reliable and comparable. If pro forma EBITDA includes unsupported add-backs, temporary revenue, or understated future expenses, applying a multiple can overstate value. The IRS valuation guidance supports matching the selected benefit stream with the discount rate, capitalization rate, or multiple used in the valuation method (IRS, 2020). That consistency is more important than a generic multiple discussion.

3. Are insurance agencies valued on revenue or EBITDA?

It depends on the purpose, facts, and available evidence. Some market discussions reference revenue. Many professional analyses focus on EBITDA, normalized earnings, or cash flow. A discounted cash flow model may convert earnings into future cash flows. A market approach may use transaction or public-company evidence with careful comparability analysis. An asset approach may be considered but may receive limited weight for a profitable going concern. A professional business appraisal should explain the valuation methods used and why.

4. What is the Rule of 20, and how should owners use it?

IA Magazine’s 2025 Best Practices coverage described the Rule of 20 as calculated by adding organic growth to 50 percent of pro forma EBITDA (IA Magazine, 2025). Owners should use it as a benchmarking concept, not as a standalone valuation formula. It can help frame growth and profitability, but it does not replace a business valuation that analyzes cash flow, risk, supportable adjustments, and method selection.

5. Is a high EBITDA margin always good for valuation?

A high margin can help if it is durable, documented, and consistent with the forecast. It may be less persuasive if it depends on owner undercompensation, deferred hiring, one-time revenue, aggressive add-backs, or underinvestment. The valuation analyst should test the reason for the margin before deciding how much weight to give it.

6. What add-backs are commonly challenged by buyers?

Commonly challenged items include owner compensation, personal expenses, producer compensation, contingent commissions, one-time legal or M&A costs, technology expenses, related-party rent, affiliate charges, and nonrecurring revenue. The buyer or analyst will usually ask whether the item is documented, economically reasonable, and not required for future operations.

7. How do contingent commissions affect agency value?

Contingent commissions may support value when they are recurring, diversified, and well documented. They may require normalization or risk adjustment if they are volatile, concentrated, or tied to a one-time event. The support file should include multi-year carrier statements and an explanation of the terms and drivers.

8. How does organic growth affect valuation?

Organic growth can support a stronger forecast when it reflects new clients, expanded relationships, and durable retention. It is less persuasive if it mostly reflects temporary premium changes or nonrecurring events. IA Magazine and Insurance Journal reported strong 2023 organic growth in the independent agency channel based on Reagan Consulting survey coverage, but a subject agency still needs its own organic growth calculation and support (IA Magazine, 2024; Insurance Journal, 2024).

9. Can public broker valuation metrics be used for my agency?

Public broker information can provide context, but it should not be used mechanically as a private-agency multiple. Public brokers have different scale, liquidity, diversification, reporting obligations, acquisition infrastructure, and capital access. A private agency valuation should use public-company information only with careful comparability caveats.

10. How does discounted cash flow treat pro forma EBITDA margin?

A discounted cash flow model may start with EBITDA or normalized earnings, but it should convert the analysis into expected cash flows and risk assumptions. Pro forma EBITDA margin affects revenue growth, expense forecasts, reinvestment, producer compensation, technology spend, taxes where appropriate, working capital where appropriate, and terminal assumptions. EBITDA is not automatically free cash flow.

11. When is the market approach useful for an insurance agency?

The market approach is useful when the analyst has credible market evidence and can make reasonable comparability judgments. It is weaker when the evidence is too broad, the EBITDA definitions differ, transaction terms are unknown, or public-company data are being used as if they were private-agency transactions. A good report explains the limits of the evidence.

12. Does the asset approach matter for an insurance agency?

It can matter depending on the engagement. The asset approach may help analyze working capital, tangible assets, debt, nonoperating assets, or certain premises of value. For a profitable going-concern agency, however, it often does not replace income approach or market approach analysis because much of the economic value is tied to future cash flow, client relationships, producers, renewals, and operations.

13. What records should I prepare before getting an agency valuation?

Prepare financial statements, tax returns where appropriate, general ledger detail, a reported-to-pro forma EBITDA bridge, revenue by type, retention reports, producer contracts, compensation plans, carrier statements, contingent commission history, payroll records, owner expense support, rent or affiliate agreements, acquisition files, technology contracts, and forecast assumptions. The goal is to let the analyst trace each adjustment to evidence.

14. How can Simply Business Valuation help with insurance agency valuation?

Simply Business Valuation can prepare a business valuation or business appraisal that connects pro forma EBITDA support to valuation methods such as discounted cash flow, market approach, and asset approach. The report can help explain revenue quality, margin durability, producer structure, contingent commissions, owner compensation, documentation gaps, and final reconciliation for the stated valuation purpose.

References

AICPA & CIMA. (2008). Statement on Standards for Valuation Services: VS Section 100. https://www.aicpa-cima.com/resources/download/statement-on-standards-for-valuation-services-vs-section-100

American Society of Appraisers. (2022). ASA Business Valuation Standards. https://www.appraisers.org/docs/default-source/5---standards/bv-standards-feb-2022.pdf

Aon plc. (2026). Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/315293/000162828026008116/aon-20251231.htm

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (2026). Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/354190/000162828026008662/ajg-20251231.htm

Big “I” & Reagan Consulting. (2025). 2025 Best Practices Study. https://cld.bz/users/user-x32Wqzj/2025-Best-Practices-Study1

Brown & Brown, Inc. (2026). Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/79282/000119312526046984/bro-20251231.htm

Houlihan Lokey. (2025). Insurance Distribution Market Update: Q1 2025. https://cdn.hl.com/pdf/2025/insurance-distribution-market-update-q1-25.pdf

IA Magazine. (2024, February 29). Independent Agency Channel Achieved Record Organic Growth in 2023. https://www.iamagazine.com/news/independent-agency-channel-achieved-record-organic-growth-in-2023/

IA Magazine. (2025, August 12). Big ‘I’ and Reagan Consulting Release 2025 Best Practices Study. https://www.iamagazine.com/news/big-i-and-reagan-consulting-release-2025-best-practices-study/

IA Magazine. (2026, January 29). Insurance Agency M&A Falls 12% in 2025. https://www.iamagazine.com/news/insurance-agency-ma-falls-12-in-2025/

IA Valuations. (2025). 2025 Q1 Marketplace Report. https://iavaluations.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Marketplace-Report-Q1-2025.pdf

Insurance Journal. (2024, February 26). Agents, Brokers Achieve Record Annual Growth in 2023. https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2024/02/26/762119.htm

Internal Revenue Service. (2020, September 22). 4.48.4 Business Valuation Guidelines. https://www.irs.gov/irm/part4/irm_04-048-004

KPMG. (2024). Future of insurance distribution and services: Reshaping the insurance distribution landscape. https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2024/future-insurance-distribution-services.pdf

Marsh McLennan. (2026). Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/62709/000006270926000022/mrsh-20251231.htm

National Association of Certified Valuators and Analysts. (n.d.). Professional Standards and Ethics. https://www.nacva.com/standards

Risk & Insurance. (2026, January 23). Insurance Agent and Broker M&A Deal Count Declines in 2025. https://riskandinsurance.com/insurance-agent-and-broker-ma-deal-count-declines-in-2025/

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. (n.d.). Non-GAAP Financial Measures. https://www.sec.gov/rules-regulations/staff-guidance/corporation-finance-interpretations/non-gaap-financial-measures

About the author

James Lynsard, Certified Business Appraiser

Certified Business Appraiser · USPAP-trained

James Lynsard is a Certified Business Appraiser with over 30 years of experience valuing small businesses. He is USPAP-trained, and his valuation work supports business sales, succession planning, 401(k) and ROBS compliance, Form 5500 filings, Section 409A safe harbor, and IRS estate and gift tax matters.

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